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Money U.S. trade relations at a low, as China set for new tariffs and amid fears Trump will leave NAFTA

03:21  14 june  2018
03:21  14 june  2018 Source:   cnbc.com

China vows to retaliate 'immediately' to US tariffs

  China vows to retaliate 'immediately' to US tariffs China vowed to "immediately" retaliate to US tariffs on Friday as Washington moved closer to imposing duties that could trigger a trade war. US President Donald Trump is due to unveil later Friday a final list of roughly $50 billion in Chinese imports that would face punishing tariffs, though his administration has not yet publicly said when the measures will be imposed.

U . S . trade relations appear to be hitting rock bottom ahead of potential new tariffs on China Friday and amid continuing worries that President Donald Trump will shred the North American Free Trade Agreement with Canada and Mexico.

Trade Tensions Intensify with Trump , Allies Set for Showdown. President Donald Trump is taking his boldest step to level the economic playing field with China , ordering sweeping tariffs on Chinese goods in a move that could escalate already tense trade relations between the world’ s two biggest

Donald Trump wearing a suit and tie© Provided by CNBC
  • U.S. trade relations with its partners appear to be hitting rock bottom, ahead of possible new tariffs on China and continued worries that Trump will withdraw from NAFTA.
  • If Trump attempts to withdraw from NAFTA, there could be a long, bitter legal battle claiming he does not have the authority to end the trade deal, which Congress put into law.
  • An important development this week is the expected determination of which Chinese goods will be subject to tariffs, but one positive is the administration appears to be cutting back on the amount of goods involved.

U.S. trade relations appear to be hitting rock bottom ahead of potential new tariffs on China Friday and amid continuing worries that President Donald Trump will shred the North American Free Trade Agreement with Canada and Mexico.

Trump OKs tariffs on $50 billion in Chinese products: report

  Trump OKs tariffs on $50 billion in Chinese products: report Trump OKs tariffs on $50 billion in Chinese products: reportThe Trump administration is working on an updated list of Chinese goods that will be hit with tariffs, and is expected to release a refined list on Friday, according to the Bloomberg report.

WASHINGTON, March 22 (Reuters) - U . S . President Donald Trump was expected to lay the foundation for tariffs on Chinese imports worth around billion on Thursday, in a move likely to trigger retaliation from Beijing and stoke fears of a global trade war.

U . S . Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer called China 's moved "unjustified" and said Trump 's proposal was an "appropriate response to China 's recent threat of new tariffs ."

Trump's already testy meeting with leaders of major trade partners at the G-7 summit last weekend took an even more difficult turn when he and administration officials slammed Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau. Trudeau had commented that Canada would not be pushed around by the U.S. and that it would proceed with retaliatory tariffs, drawing criticism from Trump and other officials who said Trudeau was stabbing Trump in the back.

The new low in U.S.-Canada relations fed concerns that NAFTA talks, still far from settled, could either drag on even longer or fall apart altogether, leading to Trump withdrawing from the 24-year-old trade pact.

Trump trade advisor Peter Navarro appeared to be toning down the administration's rhetoric Tuesday when he apologized for insulting Trudeau by saying there was a special place in hell for him. Navarro also said the list of proposed tariffs on Chinese goods, expected to be announced Friday, will be smaller than the original list.

U.S. announces tariffs on $50B in China imports

  U.S. announces tariffs on $50B in China imports U.S. announces tariffs on $50B in China imports8 a.m.

Watch video · President Trump has proposed an additional 0 billion in new tariffs on Chinese goods in a move that could lead to an all-out trade war. Let' s set the record straight. BEIJING — The trade spat between the world' s two largest economies worsened over the weekend with China hiking

There is a “reasonably good chance” that Trump will impose the tariffs , said Edward Alden, a senior fellow at the Council of Foreign Relations , a U . S . think-tank. Trump tweets economic advisor Larry Kudlow has suffered a heart attack amid trade troubles.

"The original list was $12.5 billion of tariffs on $50 billion of goods (0.06% of US GDP) and making the list smaller is positive on the margin," wrote Dan Clifton, head of policy research at Strategas. "The initial round of tariffs is quite manageable economically although we are moving to a more uncomfortable stage should the tariffs be imposed."

China has threatened its own tariffs, as have other trading partners the Trump administration has targeted. Progress appeared to be made when the White House struck a deal to allow China's ZTE to resume buying U.S. components even though it violated sanctions against selling to Iran and North Korea. However, the deal now is in question, with the Senate attempting to undo it with a bill that is making progress.

"That is a cornerstone of what President Trump promised President Xi," said Juan Carlos Hartasanchez, senior director with Albright Stonebridge Group. "I think for the Chinese, they just look at these guys and say they are not aligned. They don't have a direct message and that is likely something that debilitates the U.S. in the eyes of the Chinese."

Trudeau and Trump discuss speeding up NAFTA talks in meeting at G7

  Trudeau and Trump discuss speeding up NAFTA talks in meeting at G7 Prime Minister Justin Trudeau and U.S. President Donald Trump discussed accelerating NAFTA talks during a bilateral meeting at the G7 summit of Friday, a Canadian official told reporters Friday. "The prime minister and the president had a very positive, productive meeting and it lasted longer than originally scheduled,"​ a senior government official, speaking on background, told reporters assembled at the G7 summit Friday.

"Instead of targeting fairly traded US exports, Apr 20, 2018 · Lost amid all the controversy over NAFTA , TPP, Chinese tariffs and steel tariffs , and bilateral trade deficits is what will almost Click to enlarge China will be rolling out new tariffs on U escalating trade dispute with the United States.

WASHINGTON—Stocks dropped Monday as technology companies came under fire and fears grew about a trade war with China . Everything you need to know about Trump ’ s trade bombshell, starting with the basics. Trump gives Canada an exemption from tariffs — subject to NAFTA negotiations, he

Hartasanchez, who follows NAFTA, said it would help the NAFTA discussions, though maybe not the outcome, if the U.S. were to find a way to settle its disputes with China.

"They have opened too many fronts in battles against the main trading partners. They opened a front with China, they have the NAFTA front, and they opened a battle with Europe. It doesn't allow you to measure the effect of one negotiation on the others," he said.

Political and trade strategists say the fate of NAFTA is more unclear after G-7, and it is now more difficult than ever to handicap the odds of a new agreement. "Does [Trump] come home from Singapore and say: 'I'm out of NAFTA, I'm done?' ... I don't know,'" Clifton said.

"I think the weekend's events escalated the risk of trade wars," he said. Clifton said Trump believed Canada was in the wrong and tariffs righted the wrong, but he could see Canada's retaliation as a new escalation and could therefore respond.

Trump on Monday said Trudeau's comments will cost Canada "a lot of money." Although Canada is the country feeling the main brunt of U.S. tariffs, its goods deficit is relatively small compared with that of China or even Mexico. And with services exports, there is a trade surplus of $8 billion in the U.S. favor.

Get ready for auto tariffs, U.S. congressman warns

  Get ready for auto tariffs, U.S. congressman warns U.S. President Donald Trump isn't playing around — and Canada should brace itself for new tariffs on autos, U.S. Congressman Kevin Cramer warns."We have to take him at his word," Cramer, a Republican from North Dakota, told CBC Radio's  The House  on Friday.

US President Donald Trump ' s new tariffs and a robust verbal response from China have sparked fears of a global trade war. Watch video · The barring of Chinese smartphone maker ZTE by the U . would win a trade war with the emerging-market giant.

But he has shown a recent willingness to unilaterally impose tariffs — even amid objections from advisers who fear starting a global trade war and economists who warn such actions could ultimately hurt U . S . businesses. Trump was particularly determined to follow through on tariffs on China , as

"I think as far as we know the NAFTA renegotiations are still there on the table and no one has announced they're pulling out," said Patrick Leblond, a senior fellow at the Centre for International Governance Innovation in Ontario, Canada. "It's also interesting in this whole kerfuffle ... that Lighthizer, the U.S. trade representative, has not said anything."

U.S. Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer reportedly spoke Sunday with Canadian Foreign Minister Chrystia Freeland after Navarro's comments and is expected to meet with her while she is in Washington this week, according to The Wall Street Journal.

"If [Trump] thought putting tariffs on Mexico and Canada would give him leverage, it backfired," Leblond said. Trump's posture toward Trudeau has not helped, he said.

"Even if he threatens to withdraw [from NAFTA] or invokes article 2205 and notifies that he intends to leave, I think both Canada and Mexico would say, 'Go ahead, try your luck,'" Leblond said, referring to a provision in the NAFTA agreement. "We'll see how the U.S. political system works and what happens, whether you'll be able to do that."

"Certainly from the Canada side, we're bracing for a fight. It's pure bullying, and we're going to fight back," he said. "With Congress, Canada has done a lot of lobbying and engagement and that will continue."

At odds with Trump over trade, Canadians say they will avoid U.S. goods: poll

  At odds with Trump over trade, Canadians say they will avoid U.S. goods: poll At odds with Trump over trade, Canadians say they will avoid U.S. goods: pollThe poll also found a majority of Americans and Canadians are united in support of Trudeau and opposition to Trump in their countries' stand-off over the renegotiation of the 1994 North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA).

Donald Trump hit China with huge tariffs and asked them to reduce the trade deficit. Today he added: “We are talking to world trade , we are talking to NAFTA ( North American Free Trade Fears were raised President Trump could spark a row with the WTO after the US said in its annual trade

It was the worst single-day tanking since February, when the market index dropped 1,033 points amid inflation fears . 'This is the first of many,' Trump said, as he inked a document allowing for new tariffs on China .

Leblond said some trade lawyers believe Trump does not have authority to exit NAFTA without congressional approval since it put the trade act into law. Business leaders, trade groups and many members of Congress oppose leaving the trade agreement, which has spawned a web of interrelated industries and supply chains across all three countries.

"Congress could try to challenge Trump's authority," Leblond said. "I could see this mired in the courts for quite a while." He said it could ultimately be decided by the Supreme Court.

Clifton also expects a bitter fight if Trump attempts to withdraw.

"We believe there would be a private lawsuit, and we believe congressional leadership would sign on to that private lawsuit, and the lawsuit would say the president doesn't have the authority to pull out of NAFTA," he said. "That's one school of thought." He said the suit could be brought by a business group or association.

Hartasanchez said even with the six-month period that would pass after a withdrawal from NAFTA is announced, it could still be in effect because of the anticipated legal challenges.

"Everything is related. Mexico had nothing to do with G-7, but now given Canada's decision as a host of G-7, it has put Mexico in a difficult position with NAFTA," said Hartasanchez.

Aside from NAFTA, trade experts say another concern is the possibility Trump could impose tariffs on imported cars. The administration is investigating whether it should do so on the grounds of national security. Congress is attempting to push legislation that would block Trump from using national security as a reason for tariffs without congressional approval, but it's not seen as having much chance.

According to the Peterson Institute, 187,000 U.S. jobs could be lost if the U.S. withdraws from NAFTA, over a one- to three-year period, and even more if the U.S. drops out of the Canada- United States Free Trade Agreement.

If the U.S. leaves NAFTA, Mexico and Canada would remain in it unless they also withdrew.

Energy sector helps lift Toronto market .
The energy sector helped Canada's main stock index close higher Monday, while U.S. markets were flat to lower amid rising trade tensions between the U.S. and China. Trade tensions between the U.S. and Canada have also escalated recently after U.S. President Donald Trump threatened to impose tariffs on auto imports.

Source: http://ca.pressfrom.com/news/money/-79019-u-s-trade-relations-at-a-low-as-china-set-for-new-tariffs-and-amid-fears-trump-will-leave-nafta/

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