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Weekend Reads Justin Trudeau’s mission to save NAFTA

02:06  12 october  2017
02:06  12 october  2017 Source:   macleans.ca

Trudeau and Trump to talk trade today

  Trudeau and Trump to talk trade today  Prime Minister Justin Trudeau says his approach in a sit-down with U.S. President Donald Trump today is to find common ground. Trudeau and Trump are to meet as round four of talks to revamp NAFTA get underway.

On his trip to Washington, the PM will keep trying to befriend the volatile Trump, but the options to salvage the deal are narrowing.

Justin Trudeau ' s Mission to Save NAFTA . Meagan Campbell, Maclean's October 12, 2017.

Executive Director, Fortune MPW Summits and Live Content, Pattie Sellers and Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau speak onstage at the Fortune Most Powerful Women Summit - Day 2 on October 10, 2017 in Washington, DC. (Paul Morigi/Getty Images/Fortune): Executive Director, Fortune MPW Summits and Live Content, Pattie Sellers and Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau speak onstage at the Fortune Most Powerful Women Summit on Oct. 10, 2017 in Washington, DC. (Paul Morigi/Getty Images/Fortune) © Used with permission of / © Rogers Media Inc. 2017. Executive Director, Fortune MPW Summits and Live Content, Pattie Sellers and Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau speak onstage at the Fortune Most Powerful Women Summit on Oct. 10, 2017 in Washington, DC. (Paul Morigi/Getty Images/Fortune)

Monochrome black, a convoy of cars delivered Prime Minister Justin Trudeau, just in time, from tarmac to hotel. Two motorcycle police blared sirens to part the traffic, and at least for a moment, Washington pushed aside.

In what the minister of foreign affairs has called the most turbulent time in international relations since the end of WWII, Trudeau will meet with President Donald Trump to attempt to save NAFTA.

Trudeau to meet with Trump in Washington next week

  Trudeau to meet with Trump in Washington next week Prime Minister Justin Trudeau will meet U.S. President Donald Trump in Washington for a second time this year.Trudeau will visit the White House during a two-day trip to the U.S. on Tuesday Oct. 10 and Wednesday Oct. 11, his office announced Tuesday. He will visit Mexico on Thursday and Friday and meet with President Enrique Pena Nieto.Trudeau will be in Washington on the same day as the fourth round of North American Free Trade Agreement negotiations begin there. The round is scheduled to run from Oct. 11 to 15.Trudeau’s office said the Trump meeting was not intentionally scheduled to coincide with the NAFTA talks.

The long arm of Justin Trudeau ’ s charm knows no earthly bounds. The Canadian newspaper National Post reports—citing multiple sources in the Canadian government—that Trump’s staff reached out to Trudeau to enlist him in the effort to save NAFTA .

Justin Trudeau ’ s mission to save NAFTA . Trudeau to seek common ground with Trump on NAFTA . Does Trump’s tough trade talk only undermine investment in the U.S.? Is the U.S. arranging things so Trump can walk away from NAFTA ?

Negotiations have split into two types of demands: one hoping to modernize the agreement, but the second trying to rewind the deal to protectionist times. Trudeau hopes to better befriend Trump to ward off the latter. Sources say Canada is also trying to ally with state governors and may try to delay the deal, or evoke a little-talked-about ultimatum. America has the most demands, Mexico, the most to lose, but it’s Canada that holds the most potential to keep trade free across the continent.

“The strategy for Canada is to say, ‘absolutely, sure, we’ll talk about all of your irritants,” says Maxwell Cameron, a political scientist and author who interviewed dozens of negotiators about sealing the NAFTA deal, “but these concessions have to be matched.” Trump has claimed he wants to kill the deal, and Canada must gamble with judging the presidential poker face. As Cameron says, “I’d rather read tea leaves or roll dice than read the mind of Donald Trump.”

Trudeau, Harper to cross paths in Washington

  Trudeau, Harper to cross paths in Washington Trudeau, Harper to cross paths in WashingtonOld political nemeses Justin Trudeau and Stephen Harper might literally cross paths. Harper is scheduled to attend a panel discussion on trade Wednesday afternoon, just as Trudeau is a few blocks away at the White House, discussing thorny trade issues with President Donald Trump.

Trudeau ’ s entourage insist this trip to Washington and Mexico City isn’t a mission to save the trade deal. But the Prime Minister would be shirking his duty if it wasn’t about just that. For Subscribers. Justin Trudeau is on a Save -the- NAFTA tour.

MORE: Justin Trudeau ’ s mission to save NAFTA . A similar tension appears to exist in Mexico, where President Enrique Pena Nieto has pledged to defend the deal, but some of his senior leadership appear to be laying groundwork for it to fail.

The bond with Trump is especially important because the Americans may be short staffed at lower levels. One source in Washington close to the negotiations says the United States Trade Representative hasn’t filled all its delegate roles. Working groups would otherwise resolve issues themselves, then call in the chief negotiators if needed, then ministers, and the heads of state only in rare cases. But the source says, “there’s just not enough folks in there. Nitty gritty details are being kicked up the ladder.”

READ MORE: How Canada hopes to one-up the White House on NAFTA

Brian Mulroney, George Bush and Carlos Salinas de Gortari became a trio essential to passing the agreement in the first place, but Trudeau needs to balance his Trump friendship with getting close to state governors. Trudeau went to Rhode Island in July to deliver a keynote speech at a meeting with 35 governors. (Canadian delegates have also reportedly met with all levels of governments including mayors and made hundreds of contacts across the U.S.) Yet, Trudeau’s speech was seen as side-stepping the president, so he shortly after met with Vice President Mike Pence.

Trudeau talks gender equality (and a little about Trump) at Washington summit

  Trudeau talks gender equality (and a little about Trump) at Washington summit Prime Minister Justin Trudeau talked politely about U.S. President Donald Trump and talked up gender equality at the first event of his second official trip to Trump’s Washington. Interviewed onstage Tuesday night at the Fortune Most Powerful Women Summit, Trudeau stuck to his usual script for discussing the president he will meet with on Wednesday: avoid controversy, emphasize common ground.

President Donald Trump urged the quick completion of the NAFTA negotiations in a phone call with Prime Minister Justin Trudeau on Monday, amid indications the U. S . wants a deal wrapped up this spring. READ MORE: Trudeau telephones Trump to talk tariffs and trade . Story continues below.

Trudeau in Mexico: What' s on his agenda, and what' s at stake for NAFTA ? A guide. Prime Minister Justin Trudeau arrived in Mexico Thursday on a mission to save the North American free - trade agreement , which U. S . President Donald Trump had threatened to tear up the day before.

“Do no harm,” pleaded 314 American chambers of commerce in a letter to Trump sent Tuesday. “There are poison pill proposals still on the table that could doom the entire deal,” said Thomas Donohue, president of the U.S. Chamber of Commerce, in a statement. He specifically addressed America’s demand for change in rules around governments procurement of contracts. “This is a bad idea,” he said, “and by the way, no one’s asking for it!”

Some demands ask for NAFTA to modernize—by freeing up e-commerce and digitalizing border processing—but Americans also want to scrap dispute resolution, which Canada has seen as critical. As one source says, “you take that out, in a way you take the guts out of NAFTA.”

Americans could completely gut the deal with the proposed sunset clause, which would make NAFTA expire in four years—a disaster for, say, tomato farmers, who couldn’t plan how much seed to buy for the future. In response, Canada could use an ultimatum, as it currently guarantees Americans access to oil in case of emergency, thanks to a chapter that has seemed symbolic but never tested.

PM to visit Washington, Mexico next week

  PM to visit Washington, Mexico next week PM to visit Washington, Mexico next weekThe Prime Minister's Office says he will be in Washington on Tuesday and Wednesday, going on to Mexico on Thursday.

The campaign to save NAFTA is far from over and may yet prove to have been a losing struggle, but Prime Minister Justin Trudeau ’ s blitz of the capitals of Canada's two NAFTA partners planted seeds that may bear fruit down the road.

Old political nemeses Justin Trudeau and Stephen Harper might literally cross paths. The law firm timed the event to coincide with the fourth round of NAFTA negotiations, which run from Wednesday to Sunday in Washington.

A stronger tactic is for Canada to delay the proceedings. If Trump wants to keep any portion of NAFTA, he’ll want to reach a deal before the midterm congressional elections, which risk bringing in new members to undermine his work so far. The longer Canada waits leading up to these elections, the more leverage it could have.

Mexicans tactically delayed meetings in the 1990s. “They would go into a lengthy, lengthy technical report about Mexican investment performance requirements,” explains Cameron. “They had Canadians and Americans scratching their heads trying to find out how Mexican legislation worked … Mexicans were just sort of playing them and distracting them. We caught on after a while.”

Delay is risky, for if Trump honestly wants to kill the deal as he suggests, then putting off the process would only waste time and money. However, Trudeau did employ this strategy once so far in Washington; the evening he arrived, during a talk at the Fortune Most Powerful Women Summit, interviewer Pattie Sellers paused the discussion to note Trudeau’s polka dotted socks. “Sometimes they distract people,” he joked. “I’ve already used up [he checked his watch] five seconds of talking about Donald Trump.”

MORE ABOUT NAFTA:

  • Trudeau to seek common ground with Trump on NAFTA
  • Does Trump’s tough trade talk only undermine investment in the U.S.?
  • Is the U.S. arranging things so Trump can walk away from NAFTA?
  • Trump fans dislike NAFTA but not trade with Canada, survey shows
  • Stop whining, America: NAFTA favours your wine
  • Trump was looking for a trade war. Now he has one.
  • How Chrystia Freeland sees trade talks in the Trump era

As Trudeau heads to Washington, Trump again muses that ‘NAFTA will have to be terminated’ .
WASHINGTON—As he prepares to welcome Prime Minister Justin Trudeau to the White House, U.S. President Donald Trump is musing again about terminating the North American Free Trade Agreement.“I happen to think that NAFTA will have to be terminated if we’re going to make it good. Otherwise, I believe you can’t negotiate a good deal,” Trump told Forbes magazine in an interview published Tuesday.“(The Trans-Pacific Partnership) would have been a large-scale version of NAFTA. It would have been a disaster. It’s a great honour to have — I consider that a great accomplishment, stopping that. And there are many people that agree with me. I like bilateral deals.

Source: http://ca.pressfrom.com/news/weekendreads/-49081-justin-trudeau-s-mission-to-save-nafta/

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